Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →30.2%
Port Vale
24.4%
Draw
45.4%
Leyton Orient
Expected Goals (xG)
1.09
Port Vale
vs
1.42
Leyton Orient
Markets
BTTS49.3%
Over 0.592.9%
Over 1.570.4%
Over 2.545.9%
Over 3.524.5%
Most Likely Scorelines
0-1
12.5%
1-1
11.5%
1-0
9.9%
1-2
8.9%
0-2
8.1%
0-0
7.1%
2-1
6.9%
2-2
4.9%
2-0
4.9%
1-3
4.2%
0-3
3.8%
3-1
2.5%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).