Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →69.7%
Deportivo Alavés
19.7%
Draw
10.6%
Valladolid
Expected Goals (xG)
2.03
Deportivo Alavés
vs
0.65
Valladolid
Markets
BTTS41.7%
Over 0.593.0%
Over 1.575.0%
Over 2.550.2%
Over 3.528.2%
Most Likely Scorelines
2-0
14.1%
1-0
13.7%
3-0
9.6%
1-1
9.2%
2-1
9.2%
0-0
7.0%
3-1
6.2%
4-0
4.9%
0-1
4.2%
4-1
3.2%
2-2
3.0%
1-2
2.9%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).