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04 Oct 2024 · 19:45

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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30.6%
Verona
29.5%
Draw
39.9%
Venezia

Expected Goals (xG)

0.95

Verona

vs
1.13

Venezia

Markets

BTTS41.4%
Over 0.587.8%
Over 1.561.4%
Over 2.534.6%
Over 3.515.8%

Most Likely Scorelines

0-1
14.3%
1-1
13.2%
0-0
12.2%
1-0
12.1%
0-2
8.0%
1-2
7.6%
2-1
6.4%
2-0
5.6%
2-2
3.6%
0-3
3.0%
1-3
2.9%
3-1
2.0%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).