Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →68.2%
Moreirense
21.0%
Draw
10.8%
AVS
Expected Goals (xG)
2.02
Moreirense
vs
0.68
AVS
Markets
BTTS43.7%
Over 0.592.6%
Over 1.576.0%
Over 2.550.8%
Over 3.528.7%
Most Likely Scorelines
2-0
13.7%
1-0
12.8%
1-1
9.9%
2-1
9.3%
3-0
9.2%
0-0
7.4%
3-1
6.3%
4-0
4.7%
0-1
3.8%
4-1
3.2%
2-2
3.2%
1-2
3.1%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).