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15 May 2021 · 18:30

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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60.6%
Trabzonspor
25.1%
Draw
14.3%
Genclerbirligi

Expected Goals (xG)

2.08

Trabzonspor

vs
0.97

Genclerbirligi

Markets

BTTS56.8%
Over 0.592.9%
Over 1.583.2%
Over 2.558.8%
Over 3.536.4%

Most Likely Scorelines

1-1
12.0%
2-0
10.2%
2-1
9.9%
1-0
7.4%
0-0
7.1%
3-0
7.1%
3-1
6.9%
2-2
4.8%
1-2
4.6%
4-0
3.7%
4-1
3.6%
3-2
3.3%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).