Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →37.0%
Brescia
34.6%
Draw
28.4%
Ascoli
Expected Goals (xG)
1.02
Brescia
vs
0.86
Ascoli
Markets
BTTS38.1%
Over 0.583.3%
Over 1.557.2%
Over 2.529.0%
Over 3.512.1%
Most Likely Scorelines
0-0
16.7%
1-1
14.7%
1-0
14.3%
0-1
11.8%
2-0
7.9%
2-1
6.8%
1-2
5.7%
0-2
5.6%
2-2
2.9%
3-0
2.7%
3-1
2.3%
1-3
1.6%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).