Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →47.6%
Darmstadt
25.7%
Draw
26.7%
Paderborn
Expected Goals (xG)
1.73
Darmstadt
vs
1.26
Paderborn
Markets
BTTS59.9%
Over 0.593.9%
Over 1.581.0%
Over 2.557.4%
Over 3.535.0%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
12.0%
2-1
9.5%
1-0
7.7%
2-0
7.6%
1-2
6.9%
0-0
6.1%
2-2
6.0%
3-1
5.5%
0-1
5.3%
3-0
4.4%
0-2
4.0%
3-2
3.4%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).