Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →11.4%
Crawley Town
16.7%
Draw
71.9%
Stockport
Expected Goals (xG)
0.79
Crawley Town
vs
2.31
Stockport
Markets
BTTS48.7%
Over 0.595.8%
Over 1.581.1%
Over 2.559.7%
Over 3.537.3%
Most Likely Scorelines
0-2
12.1%
0-1
10.8%
1-2
9.5%
0-3
9.3%
1-1
7.9%
1-3
7.3%
0-4
5.3%
0-0
4.2%
1-4
4.2%
1-0
3.9%
2-2
3.7%
2-1
3.2%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).