Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →19.3%
Hartlepool
28.9%
Draw
51.8%
Stockport
Expected Goals (xG)
0.79
Hartlepool
vs
1.45
Stockport
Markets
BTTS42.6%
Over 0.588.3%
Over 1.566.4%
Over 2.538.6%
Over 3.518.7%
Most Likely Scorelines
0-1
14.5%
1-1
13.2%
0-0
11.7%
0-2
11.2%
1-2
8.8%
1-0
7.4%
0-3
5.4%
2-1
4.8%
1-3
4.3%
2-2
3.5%
2-0
3.3%
0-4
2.0%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).