Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →65.0%
Marseille
16.9%
Draw
18.0%
Nice
Expected Goals (xG)
2.64
Marseille
vs
1.35
Nice
Markets
BTTS68.7%
Over 0.598.3%
Over 1.590.6%
Over 2.576.0%
Over 3.556.5%
Most Likely Scorelines
2-1
8.7%
3-1
7.6%
1-1
6.4%
2-0
6.4%
2-2
5.9%
3-0
5.6%
3-2
5.2%
1-0
5.1%
4-1
5.0%
1-2
4.5%
4-0
3.7%
4-2
3.4%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).