Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →48.3%
AFC Wimbledon
23.5%
Draw
28.2%
Fleetwood Town
Expected Goals (xG)
1.53
AFC Wimbledon
vs
1.09
Fleetwood Town
Markets
BTTS51.0%
Over 0.593.7%
Over 1.572.6%
Over 2.548.6%
Over 3.526.8%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-0
12.2%
1-1
11.1%
2-1
9.3%
0-1
9.0%
2-0
8.5%
1-2
6.6%
0-0
6.3%
2-2
5.1%
3-1
4.7%
0-2
4.3%
3-0
4.3%
3-2
2.6%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).