Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →34.0%
Peterboro
23.1%
Draw
42.9%
Portsmouth
Expected Goals (xG)
1.31
Peterboro
vs
1.50
Portsmouth
Markets
BTTS55.7%
Over 0.595.0%
Over 1.576.1%
Over 2.553.3%
Over 3.531.1%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
10.8%
0-1
10.0%
1-2
8.9%
1-0
8.8%
2-1
7.7%
0-2
6.8%
2-2
5.8%
2-0
5.1%
0-0
5.0%
1-3
4.5%
0-3
3.4%
3-1
3.4%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).