Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →28.3%
Cittadella
32.0%
Draw
39.7%
Perugia
Expected Goals (xG)
0.96
Cittadella
vs
1.18
Perugia
Markets
BTTS44.1%
Over 0.587.0%
Over 1.564.5%
Over 2.536.2%
Over 3.517.0%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
14.6%
0-0
13.0%
0-1
12.6%
1-0
9.9%
0-2
8.2%
1-2
7.9%
2-1
6.4%
2-0
5.4%
2-2
3.8%
0-3
3.2%
1-3
3.1%
3-1
2.0%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).