Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →34.5%
Piast Gliwice
26.8%
Draw
38.8%
Lech Poznań
Expected Goals (xG)
1.40
Piast Gliwice
vs
1.50
Lech Poznań
Markets
BTTS59.5%
Over 0.593.5%
Over 1.579.5%
Over 2.555.3%
Over 3.533.0%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
12.6%
1-2
8.7%
2-1
8.1%
0-1
7.3%
1-0
6.7%
0-0
6.5%
0-2
6.2%
2-2
6.1%
2-0
5.4%
1-3
4.3%
3-1
3.8%
0-3
3.1%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).