Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →72.6%
Chesterfield
16.7%
Draw
10.6%
Weymouth
Expected Goals (xG)
2.62
Chesterfield
vs
0.94
Weymouth
Markets
BTTS57.2%
Over 0.596.6%
Over 1.587.7%
Over 2.569.1%
Over 3.547.7%
Most Likely Scorelines
2-0
9.7%
2-1
9.2%
3-0
8.5%
3-1
8.0%
1-1
7.6%
1-0
6.8%
4-0
5.6%
4-1
5.3%
2-2
4.3%
3-2
3.8%
0-0
3.4%
1-2
3.3%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).