Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →18.9%
Paderborn
26.2%
Draw
54.9%
Dortmund
Expected Goals (xG)
0.86
Paderborn
vs
1.63
Dortmund
Markets
BTTS47.2%
Over 0.591.0%
Over 1.571.9%
Over 2.545.5%
Over 3.524.1%
Most Likely Scorelines
0-1
12.7%
1-1
12.4%
0-2
11.0%
1-2
9.5%
0-0
9.0%
1-0
6.3%
0-3
6.0%
1-3
5.2%
2-1
5.0%
2-2
4.1%
2-0
3.0%
0-4
2.5%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).