Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →79.0%
Elche
13.5%
Draw
7.5%
Valladolid
Expected Goals (xG)
2.77
Elche
vs
0.76
Valladolid
Markets
BTTS50.1%
Over 0.596.9%
Over 1.586.9%
Over 2.568.5%
Over 3.547.0%
Most Likely Scorelines
2-0
11.2%
3-0
10.4%
2-1
8.6%
1-0
8.0%
3-1
7.9%
4-0
7.2%
1-1
6.3%
4-1
5.5%
5-0
4.0%
2-2
3.3%
0-0
3.1%
5-1
3.0%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).