Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →59.1%
Lens
21.7%
Draw
19.2%
Strasbourg
Expected Goals (xG)
1.80
Lens
vs
0.90
Strasbourg
Markets
BTTS49.1%
Over 0.593.9%
Over 1.574.6%
Over 2.550.8%
Over 3.528.7%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-0
12.7%
2-0
10.8%
1-1
10.3%
2-1
9.8%
0-1
6.7%
3-0
6.5%
0-0
6.1%
3-1
5.9%
1-2
4.9%
2-2
4.4%
4-0
2.9%
0-2
2.7%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).