Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →17.7%
Bordeaux
17.3%
Draw
65.0%
Lyon
Expected Goals (xG)
1.20
Bordeaux
vs
2.44
Lyon
Markets
BTTS63.3%
Over 0.597.8%
Over 1.587.3%
Over 2.570.4%
Over 3.549.2%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-2
9.4%
0-2
7.8%
1-3
7.6%
1-1
7.3%
0-1
6.9%
0-3
6.4%
2-2
5.6%
1-4
4.6%
2-1
4.6%
2-3
4.6%
0-4
3.9%
1-0
3.6%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).