Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →46.0%
Spartans
29.8%
Draw
24.2%
Forfar
Expected Goals (xG)
1.54
Spartans
vs
1.07
Forfar
Markets
BTTS53.8%
Over 0.590.5%
Over 1.575.7%
Over 2.548.5%
Over 3.526.7%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
14.3%
0-0
9.5%
2-1
9.3%
1-0
9.1%
2-0
8.7%
1-2
6.5%
0-1
5.7%
2-2
5.0%
3-1
4.8%
3-0
4.5%
0-2
4.2%
3-2
2.6%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).