⚽ FootballData
3 – 0
HHT: 00CSV

16 Dec 2016

Dixon-Coles Prediction

View all models →
33.2%
Clermont
26.9%
Draw
39.9%
Orleans

Expected Goals (xG)

1.03

Clermont

vs
1.16

Orleans

Markets

BTTS43.2%
Over 0.589.9%
Over 1.563.3%
Over 2.537.6%
Over 3.518.0%

Most Likely Scorelines

0-1
14.0%
1-0
12.6%
1-1
12.3%
0-0
10.1%
1-2
7.8%
0-2
7.5%
2-1
6.9%
2-0
5.9%
2-2
4.0%
1-3
3.0%
0-3
2.9%
3-1
2.4%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).