Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →41.2%
Fortuna Dusseldorf
27.7%
Draw
31.1%
Dresden
Expected Goals (xG)
1.48
Fortuna Dusseldorf
vs
1.26
Dresden
Markets
BTTS56.5%
Over 0.592.4%
Over 1.577.0%
Over 2.551.6%
Over 3.529.5%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
13.2%
2-1
8.9%
1-0
8.4%
0-0
7.6%
1-2
7.6%
2-0
7.1%
0-1
7.0%
2-2
5.6%
0-2
5.1%
3-1
4.4%
3-0
3.5%
1-3
3.2%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).