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DHT: 11CSV

06 Aug 2022 · 15:00

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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61.9%
Altrincham
23.1%
Draw
15.0%
Maidstone

Expected Goals (xG)

1.93

Altrincham

vs
0.85

Maidstone

Markets

BTTS49.6%
Over 0.592.9%
Over 1.577.2%
Over 2.552.4%
Over 3.530.2%

Most Likely Scorelines

2-0
11.6%
1-0
11.2%
1-1
11.1%
2-1
9.8%
3-0
7.4%
0-0
7.1%
3-1
6.3%
0-1
4.4%
1-2
4.3%
2-2
4.1%
4-0
3.6%
4-1
3.0%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).