Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →49.0%
Oviedo
30.1%
Draw
20.9%
Leganes
Expected Goals (xG)
1.21
Oviedo
vs
0.68
Leganes
Markets
BTTS34.4%
Over 0.585.0%
Over 1.556.2%
Over 2.529.3%
Over 3.512.3%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-0
18.4%
0-0
15.0%
1-1
12.3%
2-0
11.1%
0-1
10.4%
2-1
7.5%
3-0
4.5%
1-2
4.2%
0-2
3.5%
3-1
3.0%
2-2
2.6%
4-0
1.3%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).