Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →59.0%
West Brom
26.5%
Draw
14.5%
Southampton
Expected Goals (xG)
1.71
West Brom
vs
0.75
Southampton
Markets
BTTS44.7%
Over 0.590.0%
Over 1.572.0%
Over 2.544.7%
Over 3.523.5%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-0
13.1%
2-0
12.5%
1-1
12.5%
0-0
10.0%
2-1
9.4%
3-0
7.2%
3-1
5.4%
0-1
4.9%
1-2
4.1%
2-2
3.5%
4-0
3.1%
0-2
2.4%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).