Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →30.6%
Crawley Town
22.4%
Draw
46.9%
Stockport
Expected Goals (xG)
1.27
Crawley Town
vs
1.63
Stockport
Markets
BTTS56.8%
Over 0.595.4%
Over 1.577.6%
Over 2.555.4%
Over 3.533.0%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
10.4%
0-1
9.9%
1-2
9.3%
1-0
7.9%
0-2
7.3%
2-1
7.2%
2-2
5.9%
1-3
5.1%
0-0
4.6%
2-0
4.4%
0-3
4.0%
2-3
3.2%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).