Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →37.5%
Frosinone
29.1%
Draw
33.3%
Lecce
Expected Goals (xG)
1.11
Frosinone
vs
1.03
Lecce
Markets
BTTS42.8%
Over 0.588.4%
Over 1.562.8%
Over 2.536.0%
Over 3.516.8%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-0
13.3%
1-1
13.2%
0-1
12.3%
0-0
11.6%
2-1
7.5%
2-0
7.3%
1-2
6.9%
0-2
6.2%
2-2
3.8%
3-1
2.8%
3-0
2.7%
1-3
2.4%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).