Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →22.6%
Southampton
31.3%
Draw
46.1%
Wolves
Expected Goals (xG)
0.89
Southampton
vs
1.36
Wolves
Markets
BTTS45.4%
Over 0.587.6%
Over 1.567.4%
Over 2.538.9%
Over 3.519.0%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
14.5%
0-1
12.6%
0-0
12.4%
0-2
9.8%
1-2
8.7%
1-0
7.6%
2-1
5.6%
0-3
4.4%
2-0
4.2%
1-3
3.9%
2-2
3.8%
2-3
1.7%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).