Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →48.7%
Varaždin
29.6%
Draw
21.7%
Gorica
Expected Goals (xG)
1.46
Varaždin
vs
0.90
Gorica
Markets
BTTS47.0%
Over 0.589.0%
Over 1.569.7%
Over 2.541.9%
Over 3.521.2%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
13.9%
1-0
12.3%
0-0
11.0%
2-0
10.1%
2-1
9.1%
0-1
7.0%
1-2
5.6%
3-0
4.9%
3-1
4.4%
2-2
4.1%
0-2
3.8%
3-2
2.0%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).