Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →35.4%
Luton
32.8%
Draw
31.8%
Blackburn
Expected Goals (xG)
1.05
Luton
vs
0.98
Blackburn
Markets
BTTS41.8%
Over 0.585.8%
Over 1.561.4%
Over 2.533.2%
Over 3.514.9%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
14.7%
0-0
14.2%
1-0
12.6%
0-1
11.7%
2-0
7.2%
2-1
7.1%
1-2
6.6%
0-2
6.3%
2-2
3.5%
3-0
2.5%
3-1
2.5%
1-3
2.2%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).