Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →23.7%
Betis
23.0%
Draw
53.3%
Real Madrid
Expected Goals (xG)
1.18
Betis
vs
1.87
Real Madrid
Markets
BTTS58.9%
Over 0.595.1%
Over 1.581.1%
Over 2.558.9%
Over 3.536.5%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
10.7%
1-2
9.8%
0-1
8.6%
0-2
8.3%
2-1
6.2%
1-3
6.1%
2-2
5.8%
1-0
5.4%
0-3
5.2%
0-0
4.9%
2-3
3.6%
2-0
3.3%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).