Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →12.9%
Leicester
23.1%
Draw
64.0%
Fulham
Expected Goals (xG)
0.82
Leicester
vs
2.01
Fulham
Markets
BTTS49.7%
Over 0.592.8%
Over 1.578.7%
Over 2.553.8%
Over 3.531.5%
Most Likely Scorelines
0-2
12.0%
1-1
11.0%
0-1
10.5%
1-2
9.8%
0-3
8.0%
0-0
7.2%
1-3
6.6%
0-4
4.1%
2-2
4.0%
2-1
4.0%
1-0
3.5%
1-4
3.3%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).