Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →17.8%
Ibiza
28.9%
Draw
53.2%
Alaves
Expected Goals (xG)
0.62
Ibiza
vs
1.29
Alaves
Markets
BTTS33.3%
Over 0.585.3%
Over 1.556.8%
Over 2.529.9%
Over 3.512.7%
Most Likely Scorelines
0-1
19.3%
0-0
14.7%
0-2
12.4%
1-1
11.7%
1-0
9.2%
1-2
7.6%
0-3
5.3%
2-1
3.6%
1-3
3.3%
2-0
2.8%
2-2
2.4%
0-4
1.7%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).