Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →27.2%
Cartagena
26.3%
Draw
46.5%
Sabadell
Expected Goals (xG)
1.03
Cartagena
vs
1.43
Sabadell
Markets
BTTS48.7%
Over 0.591.6%
Over 1.570.3%
Over 2.544.6%
Over 3.523.4%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
12.5%
0-1
12.4%
1-2
9.0%
1-0
8.9%
0-2
8.8%
0-0
8.4%
2-1
6.5%
2-2
4.6%
2-0
4.5%
1-3
4.3%
0-3
4.2%
3-1
2.2%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).