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AHT: 11CSV

19 Dec 2023 · 19:45

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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13.8%
Laval
20.4%
Draw
65.8%
Auxerre

Expected Goals (xG)

0.66

Laval

vs
1.81

Auxerre

Markets

BTTS39.7%
Over 0.592.4%
Over 1.569.9%
Over 2.545.0%
Over 3.523.7%

Most Likely Scorelines

0-1
16.1%
0-2
13.8%
1-1
9.3%
1-2
9.2%
0-3
8.4%
0-0
7.6%
1-0
6.4%
1-3
5.5%
0-4
3.8%
2-1
3.3%
2-2
3.0%
1-4
2.5%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).