Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →56.3%
Middlesbrough
27.4%
Draw
16.3%
Blackburn
Expected Goals (xG)
1.56
Middlesbrough
vs
0.72
Blackburn
Markets
BTTS41.6%
Over 0.588.8%
Over 1.567.4%
Over 2.539.9%
Over 3.519.7%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-0
14.9%
1-1
12.5%
2-0
12.4%
0-0
11.2%
2-1
9.0%
0-1
6.4%
3-0
6.4%
3-1
4.6%
1-2
4.2%
2-2
3.2%
0-2
2.7%
4-0
2.5%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).