Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →19.0%
Crawley Town
26.1%
Draw
54.9%
Leyton Orient
Expected Goals (xG)
0.70
Crawley Town
vs
1.43
Leyton Orient
Markets
BTTS37.9%
Over 0.588.7%
Over 1.562.3%
Over 2.535.9%
Over 3.516.7%
Most Likely Scorelines
0-1
17.5%
0-2
12.1%
1-1
11.4%
0-0
11.3%
1-0
8.9%
1-2
8.5%
0-3
5.8%
2-1
4.2%
1-3
4.1%
2-2
3.0%
2-0
2.9%
0-4
2.1%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).