Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →67.9%
Monza
21.3%
Draw
10.8%
Carrarese
Expected Goals (xG)
2.04
Monza
vs
0.70
Carrarese
Markets
BTTS44.7%
Over 0.592.6%
Over 1.576.8%
Over 2.551.6%
Over 3.529.5%
Most Likely Scorelines
2-0
13.4%
1-0
12.3%
1-1
10.1%
2-1
9.4%
3-0
9.2%
0-0
7.4%
3-1
6.4%
4-0
4.7%
0-1
3.6%
2-2
3.3%
4-1
3.3%
1-2
3.2%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).