Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →35.8%
Metz
27.0%
Draw
37.2%
Le Havre
Expected Goals (xG)
1.13
Metz
vs
1.15
Le Havre
Markets
BTTS45.5%
Over 0.590.5%
Over 1.565.7%
Over 2.539.9%
Over 3.519.7%
Most Likely Scorelines
0-1
12.5%
1-1
12.5%
1-0
12.3%
0-0
9.5%
1-2
7.7%
2-1
7.5%
0-2
6.8%
2-0
6.5%
2-2
4.3%
1-3
2.9%
3-1
2.8%
0-3
2.6%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).