Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →57.1%
Modena
28.2%
Draw
14.7%
Virtus Entella
Expected Goals (xG)
1.51
Modena
vs
0.65
Virtus Entella
Markets
BTTS38.2%
Over 0.587.3%
Over 1.564.6%
Over 2.536.6%
Over 3.517.2%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-0
16.4%
2-0
13.2%
0-0
12.7%
1-1
12.4%
2-1
8.5%
3-0
6.7%
0-1
6.3%
3-1
4.3%
1-2
3.6%
2-2
2.8%
4-0
2.5%
0-2
2.4%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).