Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →29.4%
Marseille
21.0%
Draw
49.6%
Aris
Expected Goals (xG)
1.52
Marseille
vs
2.03
Aris
Markets
BTTS67.7%
Over 0.597.4%
Over 1.586.7%
Over 2.568.8%
Over 3.547.4%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-2
9.0%
1-1
8.6%
2-2
6.8%
2-1
6.8%
1-3
6.1%
0-1
6.1%
0-2
5.9%
2-3
4.6%
1-0
4.6%
0-3
4.0%
3-2
3.5%
3-1
3.4%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).