Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →66.6%
Las Palmas
21.5%
Draw
11.9%
Fuenlabrada
Expected Goals (xG)
1.82
Las Palmas
vs
0.61
Fuenlabrada
Markets
BTTS38.2%
Over 0.591.3%
Over 1.569.7%
Over 2.543.8%
Over 3.522.7%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-0
16.1%
2-0
14.6%
1-1
9.7%
2-1
8.9%
3-0
8.8%
0-0
8.7%
0-1
5.5%
3-1
5.4%
4-0
4.0%
1-2
3.0%
2-2
2.7%
4-1
2.4%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).