Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →40.8%
Bournemouth
26.1%
Draw
33.1%
Brentford
Expected Goals (xG)
1.70
Bournemouth
vs
1.52
Brentford
Markets
BTTS65.2%
Over 0.594.6%
Over 1.584.5%
Over 2.562.3%
Over 3.540.1%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
11.8%
2-1
8.8%
1-2
7.8%
2-2
6.7%
2-0
5.8%
0-0
5.4%
1-0
5.4%
3-1
5.0%
0-1
4.7%
0-2
4.6%
1-3
4.0%
3-2
3.8%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).