Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →47.3%
Red Star
24.6%
Draw
28.1%
Boulogne
Expected Goals (xG)
1.42
Red Star
vs
1.02
Boulogne
Markets
BTTS47.5%
Over 0.592.3%
Over 1.569.1%
Over 2.544.2%
Over 3.523.1%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-0
13.4%
1-1
11.6%
0-1
9.9%
2-1
9.0%
2-0
8.8%
0-0
7.7%
1-2
6.4%
2-2
4.6%
0-2
4.5%
3-1
4.3%
3-0
4.2%
1-3
2.2%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).