Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →50.2%
Mainz
30.8%
Draw
19.0%
St Pauli
Expected Goals (xG)
1.30
Mainz
vs
0.70
St Pauli
Markets
BTTS37.4%
Over 0.585.5%
Over 1.560.3%
Over 2.532.3%
Over 3.514.3%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-0
16.7%
0-0
14.5%
1-1
13.2%
2-0
11.5%
0-1
8.5%
2-1
8.0%
3-0
5.0%
1-2
4.3%
3-1
3.5%
0-2
3.3%
2-2
2.8%
4-0
1.6%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).