Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →63.0%
Leverkusen
22.8%
Draw
14.2%
Augsburg
Expected Goals (xG)
1.90
Leverkusen
vs
0.79
Augsburg
Markets
BTTS47.1%
Over 0.592.5%
Over 1.575.7%
Over 2.550.4%
Over 3.528.4%
Most Likely Scorelines
2-0
12.3%
1-0
12.2%
1-1
10.9%
2-1
9.7%
3-0
7.8%
0-0
7.5%
3-1
6.1%
0-1
4.7%
1-2
4.0%
2-2
3.8%
4-0
3.7%
4-1
2.9%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).