Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →49.8%
Elche
26.2%
Draw
24.0%
Deportivo Alavés
Expected Goals (xG)
1.53
Elche
vs
0.98
Deportivo Alavés
Markets
BTTS49.2%
Over 0.591.6%
Over 1.571.7%
Over 2.545.9%
Over 3.524.5%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
12.4%
1-0
12.2%
2-0
9.5%
2-1
9.3%
0-0
8.4%
0-1
7.7%
1-2
6.0%
3-0
4.9%
3-1
4.8%
2-2
4.6%
0-2
3.9%
3-2
2.3%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).