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16 Nov 2019 · 15:00

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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25.2%
Macclesfield
24.3%
Draw
50.4%
Mansfield

Expected Goals (xG)

1.03

Macclesfield

vs
1.57

Mansfield

Markets

BTTS50.3%
Over 0.593.0%
Over 1.572.7%
Over 2.548.0%
Over 3.526.3%

Most Likely Scorelines

0-1
12.2%
1-1
11.5%
1-2
9.4%
0-2
9.2%
1-0
8.1%
0-0
7.0%
2-1
6.2%
1-3
4.9%
2-2
4.8%
0-3
4.8%
2-0
3.9%
2-3
2.5%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).