Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →47.8%
Middlesbrough
28.5%
Draw
23.7%
Brentford
Expected Goals (xG)
1.44
Middlesbrough
vs
0.94
Brentford
Markets
BTTS47.5%
Over 0.589.9%
Over 1.569.7%
Over 2.542.6%
Over 3.521.8%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
13.4%
1-0
12.4%
0-0
10.1%
2-0
9.6%
2-1
9.0%
0-1
7.8%
1-2
5.9%
3-0
4.6%
3-1
4.3%
2-2
4.2%
0-2
4.1%
3-2
2.0%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).