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30 Aug 2024 · 17:30

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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27.8%
Fortuna Dusseldorf
28.2%
Draw
44.0%
Hannover

Expected Goals (xG)

1.14

Fortuna Dusseldorf

vs
1.49

Hannover

Markets

BTTS53.7%
Over 0.591.5%
Over 1.574.9%
Over 2.548.7%
Over 3.526.9%

Most Likely Scorelines

1-1
13.5%
0-1
9.6%
1-2
9.1%
0-0
8.5%
0-2
8.0%
1-0
7.1%
2-1
7.0%
2-2
5.2%
2-0
4.7%
1-3
4.5%
0-3
4.0%
3-1
2.6%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).